Voters have lifted Labor to a powerful pre-election lead of 53.5 per cent in two-party terms amid signs that some have turned away from the Coalition out of concern at the impact of US President Donald Trump on Australia.

In a significant shift ahead of the 2025 federal election, recent polling data reveals that the Labor party has gained substantial ground, now leading the Coalition by 53.5% to 46.5% in two-party terms according to a national Resolve poll. This 3.5-point jump for Labor follows a troubling period for the Coalition, which previously had a stronger position, leading by 55-45 in late February. Given this context, the current numbers suggest a potential revival for Labor, with Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's approval rating climbing by 12 points to a narrow positive, while Opposition Leader Peter Dutton's has dipped significantly. The poll reflects a collective reassessment among voters, particularly regarding concerns surrounding the influence of U.S. President Donald Trump on Australian politics. Notably, 68% of voters believe Trump's election was detrimental to Australia, and a significant number of undecided voters are reportedly less likely to support Dutton due to Trump's policies. This pattern could indicate two key phenomena: first, a shift in voter sentiment towards Labor supported by concerns about international leadership and domestic economic management; and second, a possible diminishing appeal of the Coalition in light of recent policy disasters and accusations of copying Trump’s rhetoric regarding social issues. This change is compounded by Labor's perceived ability to address critical voter concerns, reflected in their steady primary vote growth and the rising support for independent candidates. Despite recent gains, the Coalition's dwindling numbers indicate a precarious position as the election approaches, suggesting that Labor may well achieve a clear majority if these trends sustain. However, the potential for polling errors similar to past elections looms large, making the upcoming debates and final campaign weeks vital for both parties. My analysis, augmented by AI insights, reveals a nuanced landscape where public opinion is greatly influenced by international developments and domestic leadership metrics.