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Stock futures rise as markets face correction amid tariff uncertainty

In a notable turnaround, stock futures experienced a rise on Friday morning following a tumultuous trading session that saw the S&P 500 plunge into correction territory. Futures tied to the S&P 500 climbed 0.8%, while Nasdaq-100 futures advanced by 1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also gained 213 points or 0.5%, signaling a potential recovery as investors look ahead. Thursday's significant sell-off, which resulted in a 1.4% decrease in the S&P 500, marked a critical moment for investors, pushing the index down 10.1% from its previous record. This decline signifies an official correction—defined by a drop of at least 10% from its recent peak. Accompanying the S&P 500's fallout was a 1.3% slide in the Dow and a nearly 2% drop in the Nasdaq Composite, which has now slipped deeper into correction territory, down more than 10% for the year. The small-cap Russell 2000 index is perilously close to entering a bear market, having fallen approximately 19% from its recent high. This week has been particularly volatile, with all three major indexes experiencing declines of over 4%. Analysts attribute the market's turbulence primarily to President Donald Trump's inconsistent tariff policies, which have heightened uncertainty and discomfort among investors. Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist for LPL Financial, commented, "In only a few weeks, the broader market has gone from record highs to correction territory." As investors brace for a busy week ahead, the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting is also creating a buzz, with predictions indicating a 98% likelihood of maintaining current interest rates. This decision will play a significant role in shaping market sentiment going forward, especially considering the mixed bag of economic indicators released this week. Across Asia-Pacific markets, there was a noticeable uptick amidst the U.S. decline. China’s CSI 300 index surged by 2.43%, reaching a three-month high, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index also saw a commendable increase of 2.12%. Noteworthy performers included pharmaceutical companies and stock shares like BYD and Meituan, which boasted impressive gains. In contrast to this restlessness in the broader market, the S&P 500's utilities sector has emerged as a rare bright spot, reflecting only a modest gain of 0.02% this week. This sector has been bolstered by attractive dividend yields, drawing the attention of investors seeking stability amid the market's volatility. However, it's crucial to recognize that several high-flying stocks that once defined the market's previous bull run have now reversed course, with five members of the so-called ‘Magnificent 7’ down 20% or more from their peaks—a harbinger of potential bear market conditions. As we navigate through this turbulent landscape, it's imperative for investors to remain vigilant, strategically assessing their portfolios and considering the broader economic implications of shifting tariffs and Federal Reserve policy. This analysis has been reviewed and informed by artificial intelligence, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state of the markets.

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