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Nearly all United States spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) had net negative performances in March as analysts expect a bearish Bitcoin trend of up to 12 months.

The month of March has proven to be a tumultuous time for spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States, reflecting a concerning trend within the broader cryptocurrency market. Data from Farside Investors indicates that nearly all Bitcoin ETFs experienced net outflows, with the total eclipsing $1.6 billion in just the first 17 days. Such significant outflows raise alarm bells, especially as analysts forecast a bear market that could persist for up to a year. A standout in the dismal performance was BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), suffering outflows of $552 million compared to inflows of merely $84.6 million. Similarly, Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) faced over $517 million in outflows against $136.5 million in inflows. Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) is yet another casualty, recording $200 million in outflows without a single inflow. In stark contrast, Grayscale’s Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC) appeared to defy the trend, remaining stable with over $55 million in net inflows for the month. The bleak performance is mirrored in the Ether market. BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHA) saw outflows reaching $126 million, with no monthly inflows, while Fidelity’s Ethereum Fund (FETH) suffered $73 million outflows against just $21 million coming in. Overall, Ether-based investment products reported outflows exceeding $300 million throughout March, effectively encapsulating the turmoil sweeping across the crypto sector. However, it is essential to dissect the causes behind these drastic outflows. Investors are increasingly nervous, a sentiment exacerbated by macroeconomic factors, heightened regulatory scrutiny, and diminishing liquidity. As noted by CryptoQuant’s CEO Ki Young Ju, the “Bitcoin bull cycle is over,” suggesting that underlying on-chain metrics are signaling a slow descent rather than a rapid recovery. Furthermore, the data highlights a longer-term pattern; CoinShares reported that liquidations have continued with greater intensity, marking an unprecedented five-week stretch where $6.4 billion has exited crypto products. The question remains - is the design of crypto exchange-traded products, which aimed to democratize access to digital assets, turning into an amplifier of market crises? The instability in Bitcoin and Ethereum markets signifies a departure from the previous optimism that had characterized the crypto sector. Interestingly, XRP’s ETPs managed to attract positive inflows, indicating that some segments of the market may still hold potential, particularly in light of favorable legal developments. But this begs the question: will investors seek less correlated alternatives amidst a widening bear market? In conclusion, while the landscape for exchange-traded products appears bleak right now, analysts and seasoned investors should remain vigilant. The topic changes swiftly and can swing from doom and gloom to potential recovery with just a single bit of favorable news. As this article has been analyzed and reviewed by artificial intelligence, it is pertinent to keep monitoring key metrics and adjust strategies in response to the evolving market environment.

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