Labor Party Surges to Highest Rating in Latest YouGov Poll

A recent YouGov Public Data poll highlights a substantial shift in the Australian political landscape, with the Labor Party achieving a noteworthy two-party preferred (2PP) rating of 53.5% against the Coalition's 46.5%. This marks a 0.5% increase for Labor since the previous poll conducted on April 18. For the first time this term, the Labor Party also leads in the primary vote, recording 33.5% compared to the Coalition’s 31%, reflecting a 2% decline for the Coalition compared to their 2022 Federal Election results, which positions them 4.7% below their past performance. If this trend continues into the next election, it would signify the lowest primary vote count for the Coalition since the Liberal Party's inception in 1944. In addition, One Nation sees a notable rise of 3.5%, reaching 10.5% support, while the Greens increase to 14% (+1%) and Independents see a drop to 5% (-4%). The poll, which surveyed 1,500 Australians between April 17-22, reflects a dramatic shift in public sentiment. Paul Smith, Director of Public Data at YouGov, emphasized that if an election were held today, the Coalition could confront its lowest vote since its formation. Labor leader Anthony Albanese has extended his lead as preferred Prime Minister, garnering 50% support compared to Peter Dutton’s 35%. Albanese is favored across various demographics and regions, further substantiating Labor's growing national support. While net satisfaction ratings for both party leaders remain negative, Dutton's rating is considerably lower, at -18%, the worst recorded for any leader in YouGov’s polling history. As the May 3 federal election approaches, these indicators suggest significant challenges for the Coalition. Poll analysts are weighing in on the implications of these trends, noting that the dynamics of early voting and voter demographics could influence final outcomes. As the electorate continues to express dissatisfaction with the Coalition, these polls may reinforce Labor's position as the dominant party in the upcoming election cycle, potentially paving the way for a landslide victory. With early voting underway, the coming weeks will be critical for both parties as they mobilize support and strategize towards the election date.