Labor leads over Coalition in final election stretch, Dutton's campaign falters

In the concluding stages of the 2025 federal election campaign, recent polling indicates a distinct advantage for the Labor Party over the Coalition, with a two-party preference standing at 53% to 47%. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's surge in support places him comfortably ahead of Opposition Leader Peter Dutton, particularly regarding perceptions of leadership and management. Notably, Albanese is preferred as Prime Minister by a significant margin of 47% to 31%, a stark shift from earlier surveys this year where Dutton briefly held the edge. Yet, while Labor garners favorable views on leadership qualities, Dutton still maintains higher ratings on traditionally key areas such as economic management, national security, crime, and migration, suggesting a competitive landscape in crucial policy domains. The Resolve Political Monitor's data were collected from a representative sample of 2,010 voters, indicating that both parties are experiencing fluctuations in voter sentiment as the election approaches. Though Labor's primary vote has dipped slightly, leading to predictions of a possible majority or minority government, there are notable concerns regarding Dutton's declining personal approval ratings, which have fallen dramatically over the past few months. Political analysts observe that the focus has now shifted to voters’ perceptions of leadership more than detailed policy frameworks. Dutton's challenge lies in reversing these trends, particularly given that voter motivation appears tethered heavily to individual perceptions of the party leaders, rather than the broad party platforms. This polling data comes amidst early voting trends and highlights the dynamic nature of electoral politics as voters' decisions solidify. As the election day looms, both parties prepare for potentially decisive outcomes, with labor aiming to build a sustainable coalition while Dutton requires a significant turnaround to reclaim lost ground. The polling indicates a robust Labor support, yet leaves room for unexpected voter shifts in the final hours of campaigning.